Derek Barnett

Fantasy points use PPR scoring. Games still to come show PigskinPal’s projected points and stats in gray: Sleeper’s and ESPN’s projections for that week, adjusted by our own model of his recent games and that week’s opponent. Under past games, “proj” is Sleeper’s projection for that week.

The projection is PigskinPal's: Sleeper's projection adjusted by our own model of his recent games and this week's opponent, simulated hundreds of times. Floor and ceiling are his 10th and 90th percentile games. SD = standard deviations from average on a bell curve: 0 is average, +1 SD beats about 84% of the field. For defenses, + means more points allowed (softer). Game forecasts include each team's starting QB and kickoff weather, and update as injury news comes in.

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